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The Earhs climate is changing, and the global  climate is projected to keep on changing over the current century and beyond. warmer temperatures are expected to change weather patterns, and disrupting the usual balance of nature. this in turn poses significant risk to human beings and all other forms of life on earth.

A field survey was carried out to model farmers’ vulnerability to climate variability

and extreme events in selected agroecological zones in Kitui County. The indicator

approach was used to calculate the overall household vulnerability index,

where Principal Component Analysis (PCA) was used to allocate weights to indicators

of exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity. Multinomial logistic regression

was run in Stata to model the influence of socioeconomic characteristics

on farmers’ vulnerability levels.

Tropical cyclones (TCs) and storms (TSs) are among the devastating events

in the world and southwestern Indian Ocean (SWIO) in particular. The seasonal

forecasting TCs and TSs for December to March (DJFM) and November

to May (NM) over SWIO were conducted. Dynamic parameters including

vertical wind shear, mean zonal steering wind and vorticity at 850 mb were

derived from NOAA (NCEP-NCAR) reanalysis 1 wind fields. Thermodynamic

parameters including monthly and daily mean Sea Surface Temperature

(SST), Outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR) and equatorial Standard

Oscillation Index (SOI) were used. Three types of Poison regression models

(i.e. dynamic, thermodynamic and combined models) were developed and

validated using the Leave One Out Cross Validation (LOOCV).

Statement on the status of Tanzania climate 2022

Statement on the status of Tanzania climate 2021

The spatio-temporal analysis of the performance of the March to May (MAM)

2020 rainfall and its societal implications to Northern Coastal Tanzania (NCT)

including Zanzibar was investigated. The uniqueness of the October to December,

2019 (OND) rainfall and the extension of the January to February,

2020 rainfall in Zanzibar which coincided with MAM 2020 rainfall was

among the issues which prolonged MAM 2020 rainfall in NCT and Zanzibar.

The National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) in collaboration

with National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR).

Availability of reliable and timely weather and climate information services is very crucial for resilience building, planning for adaptation and in implementing efforts to reduce the increasing negative social, environmental, and economic consequences of the climate change and variability. Continual monitoring of weather and climate, and provision of accurate, timely and reliable climate services including early warning of impending hydrometeorological hazards significantly contribute to reducing and managing climate change and climate variability impacts.

Statement on the status on Tanzania climate 2019

Statement on the Status of Tanzania Climate 2015

Statement on the status on Tanzania climate 2014

Statement on the status of Tanzania climate 2013

Statement on the status on Tanzania climate 2011

This approach provides the basis of our research program,

which aims to expand operative assessment beyond patient

factors and the technical skills of the surgeon; to extend assessment

of surgical skills beyond bench models to the operating theater; to

provide a basis for assessing interventions; and to provide a deeper

understanding of surgical outcomes.